usetho
Next tip-off in  

Tonight's games are already played. 25,000 times each.

Win chances, fair odds and the projected total for every game, re-run every hour, plus the reason whenever a number jumps. Subscribers see it the minute it changes.

Less than a coffee a month. Cancel in two clicks. 18+, statistics only.

BOS +6 pts in 1 h
NYK at BOSUpdated 4 min ago
37%NYK New York
63%BOS Boston
NYK by 40tie lineBOS by 40
2.73NYK fair odds
1.58BOS fair odds
221.5Projected total

BOS +6 pts in the last hour. NYK's starting guard moved from Questionable to Out.

Illustration. Each bar counts how many of the 25,000 simulated games ended with that final margin.
14 NBA games on the board200,000 games simulated in the last 24 h0 big moves explained todayRe-run every hour from 12 h before tip-off
Live now

The board is live. You're seeing it blurred.

These NBA games already have numbers. They update every hour until tip-off, and once the game starts they're locked in.

Unlock all games – $2.49/mo
3 updates
MILMilwaukee Bucks
@
NYKNew York Knicks
Subscribers only
Tip-off in  Unlock
3 updates
BOSBoston Celtics
@
PHIPhiladelphia 76ers
Subscribers only
Tip-off in  Unlock
New
LACLA Clippers
@
PHXPhoenix Suns
Subscribers only
Tip-off in  Unlock
New
MIAMiami Heat
@
UTAUtah Jazz
Subscribers only
Tip-off in  Unlock
New
ORLOrlando Magic
@
SACSacramento Kings
Subscribers only
Tip-off in  Unlock
New
OKCOklahoma City Thunder
@
PORPortland Trail Blazers
Subscribers only
Tip-off in  Unlock

How each number is made

The same steps run every hour for every game that starts within the next 12 hours.

  1. Read the latest

    Team form adjusted for opponents, rest, travel, and the official injury report.

  2. Play it 25,000 times

    Every possession is simulated: turnovers, free throws, twos, threes and rebounds.

  3. Count the outcomes

    How often each side wins becomes the probability; fair odds and the total follow from it.

  4. Explain the moves

    When a probability shifts 3 points or more, you see why, usually a change on the injury report.

NBA results so far

Every game is scored with the last numbers published before tip-off. Nothing is edited after the fact, and the full list is public.

No finished games yet. Every prediction is stored, and results are scored here as games end.

No finished games yet.

All results and calibration

One league. One coffee. Every game.

$2.49 a month per league. No contract, cancel any time from your account.

NBA
$2.49 a month
  • Every game, updated hourly from 12 h out
  • Win probability, fair odds, projected total
  • A note whenever a number moves
Coming soon
EuroLeague
$2.49 a month
  • Every game, updated hourly from 12 h out
  • Win probability, fair odds, projected total
  • A note whenever a number moves
Coming soon
NHL
$2.49 a month
  • Every game, updated hourly from 12 h out
  • Win probability, fair odds, projected total
  • A note whenever a number moves
Coming soon

Statistical information only. The numbers come from a model and can be wrong. They are not betting, financial or investment advice and don't guarantee any result. Usetho doesn't take bets or link to bookmakers.